目 录
摘 要 ………………………………………………………………………… | 1 |
ABSTRACT……………………………………………………………………… | 2 |
1绪论………………………………………………………………………… | 3 |
1.1 研究背景…………………………………………………………… | 3 |
1.2 选题的意义………………………………………………………… | 3 |
2 国际资本大量流入带来的潜在风险……………………………………… | 3 |
2.1加大了国际收支失衡,增加人民币汇率的升值………………… | 4 |
2.2短期外债的增加,形成国际收支风险……………………………… | 4 |
2.3影响货币政策实施的有效性,增大通货膨胀的压力…………… | 6 |
3对国际资本大量流入的政策建议………………………………………… | 7 |
3.1实现国际收支的动态平衡管理…………………………………… | 7 |
3.2进一步完善人民币汇率形成机制………………………………… | 8 |
3.3建立国际资本流动的监管……………………………………… | 9 |
结论………………………………………………………………………… | 11 |
参考文献……………………………………………………………………… | 12 |
20世纪90年代以来,随着世界经济一体化和金融自由化的推进,国际资本流动的规模日益扩大,速度不断加快,很大程度上影响着流入国经济的发展。但是,资本的过度流入也往往是导致金融危机发生的主要因素。像1991年美国储蓄信贷崩溃;1993年欧洲通货的混乱;1995年墨西哥的银行危机;1998年东亚国家的货币暴跌和银行倒闭;2008年以美国次贷危机为主导的全球经济危机等,这些经济危机的发生受国际资本过度流动的直接影响。因此,对资本流动所带来的风险进行防范和监管已经成为金融监管层面临的一个日益重要和紧迫的问题。
2002年以来,相当规模的国际资本涌入我国境内,在我国的经济金融运行中扮演着日益重要的角色,给我国的国民经济的发展注入了活力,同时也带来了潜在的风险,同时。本文对国际资本流入中国的现状和影响分析做了一个较为全面的探讨,就国际资本流入所带来的潜在风险做出了详细分析,并提出了建设性的意见和对策,对实践有一定程度的指导意义。
关键词:国际资本,汇率,通货膨胀,货币政策
Since the 1990s, along with the integration of the world economy and financial liberalization forward, the international flow of capital scale expanding increasingly, acceleration, to a great extent influence the development of LiuRuGuo economy. But, the excessive capital inflows also often lead to the main factors of financial crises. Like 1991 United States savings credit collapse; In 1993 the European currency confusion; 1995 years of Mexico bank crisis; In 1998 the currencies of countries of east Asia slump and bank failures; 2008 with us subprime mortgage crisis for the leading global economic crisis, these economic crises by international capital of excessive liquidity direct effect. Therefore, the capital flow to protect against the risks of financial regulation and supervision has become the face of an increasingly important and urgent problem.
Since 2002, the large scale of the international capital pouring into China, in our economy plays an increasingly important role to the development of our national economy injected vigor, but it also brings potential risks, and at the same time. In this paper, the international capital into China and the present situation of the impact analysis made a comprehensive discussion, international capital flows into brought about by the potential risk makes a detailed analysis, and put forward constructive Suggestions and countermeasures, and to practice with a certain degree of significance.
Key words: International capital;Exchange; Rate Inflation; Monetary Policy