摘要
本文首先分析了人民币汇率升值的原因和主要过程,结合上海贸易出口近几年来的情况,着重分析了人民币汇率升值对外向型经济出口可能会产生的影响。上海市作为我国主要经济体之一,经济的外向程度比较高,因此进出口水平对经济的影响比较明显。而在我国的外贸出口格局中,加工贸易出口又占据了很大的比例。由于加工贸易自身较为容易在沿海地区发展的特点,上海的加工贸易总量较大,占比很高。因此,人民币汇率的持续升值对上海外向型经济出口的影响应该是比较显著的。此外,人民币汇率变动对上海出口的影响幅度到底是怎样的也是我们所关注的问题。
关键词:金融危机,人民币升值,汇率,上海出口额
Abstract
This essay paper firstly analyzes the cause and process of the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate, then emphatically analyzes the impact which caused by the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate on the export of the export-oriented economy combined with the exports of Shanghai in recent years.
Shanghai, as one of China’s major economies, the economic outward is relatively in a high level. Therefore, the impact of import and export on the economy is more obvious. However, in the pattern of Chinese export, the processed trade accounts for a large proportion. Due to the characteristics of the processed trade itself, it’s more easily developed in coastal area,soShanghai’s processed trade volume accounts for a large proportion. Therefore, the impact caused by the continued appreciation of the RMB exchange rate on the export of export-oriented economy should more significantly.
In addition, the magnitude of the impact cause by the exchange rate movements of RMB on exports of Shanghai is also what we are concerned with.
Key words: financial crisis, the appreciation of RMB, the exchange rate, the export volume of Shanghai