我国城镇居民消费结构研究

我国城镇居民消费结构研究1

摘要

本文运用消费结构的一般理论，依据大量的历史统计资料，首先深入的剖析了当前我国城镇居民的消费结构的现状，利用恩格尔系数、边际消费倾向、需求收入弹性等方面知识对当前消费结构进行了静态分析；接下来又针对全国不同地区，以及我国与发达国家消费结构的对比，得到了有用的借鉴和启示；最后文章针对前面的分析，有针对性的提出了建立合理消费结构的对策和建议，以实现消费结构的优化升级。

关键词：消费结构；恩格尔系数；边际消费倾向；扩展线性支出系统；因子分析

The Study of the Consumptive Structure on Town of China

Abstract

Firstly, this thesis analyzes deeply present town dwellers’ structure of consumption in the current situation of our country, based on large amount of statistical data and general theory of consumptive structure. Secondly, this article does static analysis to present consumptive structure according to Engle Index, marginal propensity of consumption, elasticity of needs and income. Then the thesis also gets helpful enlightenment and reference by comparing with different areas and some typical countries in the world. At last, the dissertation puts up with some measures so that the government could establish rational structure and promote the consumptive structure to upgrade.

Keywords: consumptive structure；Engle Index ；marginal propensity of consumption；ELSE model factor analysis

引言……………………………………………………………… 3

一、我国城镇居民消费结构变化及趋势分析……………………………….. 3

（一）消费结构的变化分析…………………………………………. 3

（二）边际消费倾向分析…………………………………………… 4

（三）需求收入弹性分析………………………………………….. 5

（四）城镇居民消费结构呈现的几大变化趋势…………………………… 6

二、我国城镇居民消费结构的横向比较…………………………………… 6

1．进行因子分析的目的和可行性…………………………………….. 6

2．进行因子分析…………………………………………………. 7

1.美国消费结构的对比…………………………………………….. 9

2．国外家庭消费结构给我们的启示和借鉴（略）……………………….. 10