摘 要
自2001年我国加入世界贸易组织以来,我国农产品的出口逐年增多,从2002年的180.2亿美元增长到了2011年的607.5亿美元,农产品出口的增多促进了我国农业产业化进程的进一步发展,有利于巩固我国农业的基础,打开我国农产品销售的世界市场。但是由于我国的特殊国情,他国的进口国策以及汇率的波动对我国农产品贸易造成了很大影响,我国农产品出口总额在我国商品出口总额所占的比重成下降趋势,本文从我国农产品出口现状开始分析,然后介绍了对农产品贸易影响的因素,最后通过建模,从数字理论的角度量化分析了影响我国农产品出口的影响因素及其影响程度,并提出了加快农产品出口贸易体系建设,推动农产品出口贸易稳定向前发展等若干建议和方法。
关键词 农产品;出口;贸易;影响因素
Abstract
Since 2001since our country joins World Trade Organization, China’s agricultural products exports increased year by year, up from $18020000000 in 2002 to $60750000000 in 2011, the export of agricultural products to increase to promote process of industrialization of our country agriculture develops further, conducive to consolidating the foundation of our country agriculture, open our country agricultural products sales world market. But because of the special national condition of our country, China import policy and exchange rate fluctuation on China’s agricultural products trade has had the very tremendous influence, our agricultural products exports in China total exports accounted for a declining trend, this paper from China’s agricultural exports current situation analysis, and then introduced to the agricultural products trade influence factor, finally through modeling, from digital theory quantitative analysis of the impact of China’s exports of agricultural products and the influence factors and its influence, put forward to accelerate the agricultural product export trade system, promote the steady development of the export trade of agricultural products, some suggestions and methods.
Key words Agricultural products; export trade; influencing factors
目 录
二、我国农产品出口贸易的现状……………………………………. 1
2.出口产品以水产品、蔬菜水果类为主……………………….. 5
3.出口产品的品种集中度和市场集中度较高……………………. 5
4.亚洲、欧洲、北美洲是我国农产品出口的主要市场…………….. 5
三、中国农产品出口贸易的影响因素分析…………………………….. 6
(一)中国国情对农产品出口贸易的影响情况……………………… 6
3.大规模推进粮棉油糖高产创建政策…………………………. 7
(二)进口国政策对我国农产品出口贸易的影响情况………………… 8
2.对我国农产品出口贸易的影响…………………………….. 8
(三)汇率的波动对我国农产品出口的贸易的影响情况………………. 9
五、 建议和结论………………………………………………. 12
(一)促进我国农产品出口贸易更好发展建议…………………….. 12
1.加大补贴力度,增加农业科研创新………………………… 12
2.减少各国技术贸易壁垒的影响……………………………. 13
3.完善人民币汇率形成机制……………………………….. 13
4.加快农产品出口基地建设和人才的培养…………………….. 13
5.加快对外贸易体制创新,推动农产品贸易稳定发展…………….. 13